Analyzing Kenya Pipeline

Pre-IPO Peek at KPC

Kenya Pipeline Company (KPC) is expected to be the next big privatization project to help plug the current Government of Kenya budget deficit. The IPO transaction adviser selection process is already underway for KPC and other state corporations

How much can one glean from audited accounts of the giant company? I got hold of a 2007 annual reports of the company – a rare big glossy booklet that mentions every project e.g. SAP, ISO, fibre optics, refurbishments in Western Kenya, Mombasa, Athi River, with lots of graph



KPC still mostly compares itself to other state corporations in terms of goals such as to raise capacity from 440,000 to 880,000 lire per hour by August 2008 - a massive project that later turned controversial and may have cost the last MD (Okungu) his job in January 2009.

Financials
- 2007 revenue of 8.8 billion shillings (~$117 million) (2007 was 8.45 billion and 2003 was 6.5 billion). 2007 Revenue comes from export services (4.3b) , local services (3.7b), and 748 million from kipevu storage fees
- Pre-tax profit of Kshs. 4.3 billion in 2007 (~$53 million)
- Earnings per share was 163 shillings [153 in 2006, 2003 was 29 shillings) – company’s shareholding is made up of 18 million ordinary shares of 20/= par each.
- Dividend paid out of 8.25 per share each year 2007 and 2006
- Cash of 4.5 billion (1.1 billion in 2003) of which 2.5 billion is in treasury securities (which they only started investments in 2005)
- Paid 2.2 billion in direct and indirect taxes and was recognized by Kenya Revenue Authority as a distinguished tax payer
- Total assets of 20.2 billion shillings (18.7 billion in 2006) –however fuel stocks of 13 billion shillings (384,509 cubic metres) that is owned by marketers is not include in their accounts. [2006 was 36 billion comprising 856,958 cubic metres]
2008 decline: summarized KPC financial accounts show revenue declined by 7% to Kshs. 8.2 billion and pre tax profit 54% down to Kshs. 2.6 billion in 2008

Auditors: Accounts audited by controller and auditor general, who hired Deloitte & Touche; who said the accounts were ok except to note that that 1.2 billion receivables (current assets) includes 348 million owed from an unnamed oil company that is the subject for a court case and for which no provisions have been made

Scandals: has been a cash cow for politicians for years with a high turnover of managing directors, manager and directors. Different parts of the report mention Kshs. 967 million pending in lawsuits, 404 million leasehold land unable to develop since it is gazetted forest land, 347 million from Oil Company, 314 million of obsolete spares, and Kshs. 221 million for a finance deal with Triple A that cost the previous MD (Ochuodho) his job. The company also provided Kshs. 382 million of services to National Oil Corp of Kenya (related company as they are both owned by the Government– do they pay all oil marketing fees?

Banking
Bank with NBK, CBA, Stanchart, Co-op. In 2007, they paid off all bank loans (EIB, Stanchart, and CBA) amounting to Kshs. 500 million in 2007, but are still stuck with the 221 million Triple A loan.
- KPC recently signed a syndicated loan of Kshs 8.2 billion with CFC-Stanbic, Barclays, CBA, Citibank, and KCB.

Exports:
- Exports 58% to Uganda, 155 Rwanda, DRC 14% Tanzania 6% Sudan 4% Burundi 3%
- strong shillings bad for export sales
-pricing structure – more expensive at Eldoret and Kisumu means that the company loses revenue if other countries e.g. Rwanda, Uganda remove their oil at Nakuru or Nairobi depots
- 50% of their revenue comes from fuel exports, and With oil being found in Uganda, Sudan, and possibly Congo, is the pipeline capable and adequate to transfer oil from central Africa to the coast at Mombasa?

Others & Non core activities
- will Construct an LPG plant with private sector investors (including Kenya pipeline refineries limited, and now-collapsed Triton) in Mombasa at a cost $50 million and one in Athi River at a cost of $13.5 million by Bharat of India
- Other income includes Kshs. 8 million in helicopter income, and also disposed of 120 million worth of helicopters in the year 2007
- 50 million donated to ministry of youth affairs
- 6 acres worth of land worth 30 million in Nairobi was donated for a street children rehabilitation center
- Spent 114 million in advertising (by a monopoly) and 35 million shillings in legal expenses
- Has shares in petroleum institute of east African and consolidated bank
- Successfully changed their pension from a defined benefit to a defined contribution scheme

Outlook:
- Slight financial dip in 2008 will probably be attributed to the post election disruptions
- Capital spending could be significant as they are extending the pipeline to Uganda (Eldoret to Kampala). Also the company already spends quite a bit in pipeline rehabilitation costs, and won't a complete new pipeline (though more expensive) be a better solution?
- Needs a stronger management team led by a strong MD – like Kengen’s Eddy Njoroge (someone with a legacy to protect who will shun the wheeler dealers) and a stronger board (not just the Energy ministers' cronies)
- Could be a good IPO buy i.e. a cash cow pre-tax profit margins of almost 50%

Other Opportunities
- Bank of Africa: branch managers, assistant branch managers, operations assistants’ recruitment@boakenya.com by 5/2
- Consolidated bank credit manager, administration manager, apply to the Head of HR 51133-00200 by 31/1
- Housing Finance senior relationship manager (mortgage finance), portfolio manager, legal officer, human.recources@housing.co.ke
Dyer & Blair sales agents, and for several hundred other weekly jobs visit Kenyan jobs blog

KCB and Triton

KCB has been rather silent on the Triton matter even as the company’s share price took a mini hit and its profitability outlook was downgraded in some circles.

The last release from their website was in reference to the launch of a Sustainability Report of the group. It’s not online yet, though it will be, an interesting report with lots of rarely disclosed facts on the bank, mostly their corporate social responsibility (CSR) activities, and will be repeated every two years.

in the report
KCB Brand - has a 75% corporate reputation, is the most popular financial brand, and the 4th most popular in Kenya (after Safaricom, Kenya airways and Coca-Cola) according to the Steadman Group.

Silence on Triton can be explained by KCB’s customer privacy guidelines - the bank assures customers of privacy though stringent procedures and guidelines and undertake responsibility for any breach of confidentiality that may arise

Impact of Triton policy on responsible lending requires that the KCB audit committee meets twice a month, credit committee also twice a month to discuss risk profile of bank, and the risk management committee meet quarterly or when required

Corruption & Triton: KCB has zero tolerance to corruption, has 110 ethics champions trained to combat corruption. Also in 2007 KCB exited from transparency international (TI) bribery index, it prohibit political contributions (direct or indirect) from bank funds, and is founder member of Ethical Business Group Kenya?. Report states that 2 staff were dismissed and 9 terminated.

Labour matters
- employees got an average of 39 hours of training a year
- Base salary is equal regardless of gender: for subordinates (male is Kshs. 36,057, female is Kshs. 33,984) clerical (m 58,434 f 63,600), section heads (m 85,770, f 87,684) managers (m 192,090, f 161,138)
- staff include managers (630 males to 287 females), most of whom are aged 30 – 50 years (492 m, 212 f)

Environmental
– all loan projects are required to obtain environmental (NEMA) certification
– KCB will strive to reduce water consumption (estimated at 191,000 cubic meters p.a) reduce energy consumption (5.782 million kwh, consume 312,000 litres of diesel which emitted 248,000 and 838 tons of carbon dioxide respectively)
– KCB will strive to recycle paper, scan documents – encourage customers to uptake e-services (use less paper), participate in tree planting and reforestation,

Empowerment of Kenyans
- loan base rate of 12%
- KCB has 71,000 e-customers (receive information by electronic means - which menas less paper consumed)
- Create wealth nationwide - branches can procure 33% of product in local areas, and KCB has 9 full branches in sparely populate areas
- provide agricultural loans (mavuno for tea farmers and brookside for dairy operators)
- in education sector, partner with AIESEC and the palmhouse foundation

Triton ends well? for KCB: The Triton matter may be a forgone conclusion if the Daily Nation article about an out of court settlement between Government of Kenya and its financiers (KCB, Fortis, Ecobank, Equatorial banks) is true - and that the government (i.e. taxpayers) may pay the financiers off to not go to court over their funds lost with Trition and teh Kenya Pipleince Corporation (KPC). The silence will mean that unsavory happenings at KPC will (maybe) not be exposed further, clearing the way (hopefully) for an IPO of the troubled company.

Missing the Centum party

(EDIT: Centum's official Press release about the AGM)

When I last looked at Centum, company was in the news due to CEO exit and a postponed AGM and postponed dividend.

Now it appears the AGM took place yesterday: I did not attend as I (i) had sold my shares (ii) did not see invitation document before today (iii) forgot all about Centum AGM

From today's reading, Centum sent out an annual report with updated sections but still the financial accounts for nine months to March 2008: it now includes mentions of departures of Isaac Awuondo (September 08), and CEO Peter Mwangi (October 2008) which coincided with the postponed AGM, and also welcomes on board new directors - Kibuga Karithi (September 08) , Imtiaz khan (November 2008 - Cassias capital partners) and new CEO James Mworia (appointed October 2008, joined board December 2008) who came on board a week after Mwangi left - for greener pastures where he’s now the CEO of the Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE)

No agenda: The invitation letter dated on 1st December 2008 mentiones a shareholder presentation woudl take place on Thursday at 10, followed by the AGM at 11 - but no meeting agenda was contained.

The report also states that the (Centum) board believes that annual general meting provides an appropriate forum for investors to communicate with the board and encourages participation

Dividend day A company statement from October had mentioned that dividend would be paid at the January 14 AGM

So what happened?

Anonymous Comments posted yesterday include

Anonymous said... You gave the Centum AGM a skip???!! Here I was looking forward to a post on that.
Part of the drama was that the company's attorney denied a proxy audience on the grounds that co. law does not expressly provide for proxies to be heard at an AGM. I wonder how corporate s/holders are supposed to voice their concerns at AGMs in that case?
Interestingly, a special agenda to have two directors (the Chairman and Chris Kirubi) removed was in the cards; no need to wait for the result of that coz its sure to flop since their stake in the co is significant.

Anonymous (New CEO) MainaT - I think he's off to a good start. He managed the anti- C.K s/holder sentiment as best as these things can be managed i.e. by requesting the co. attorney to give an (erroneous) interpretation of co law to diffuse the anti C.K sentiments that were beginning to spiral out of ctrl.

Anonymous said... Centum don't have an in-house co. attorney. They must have hired whoever was turning proxies at the door. Their co. sec. is not attorney. Curiously, did they send the annual reports without the proxy forms? Extremely strange. Very strange. CMA should take a peek at this. Some one should write a stinker, otherwise, minority views will continue to be suppressed.

any more comments? and was the dividend paid or just declared?

Toxic Centum Last time Centum was in the news their CEO had departed, and Discount stockbrokers had collapsed. This time the news cycle is topped by the Triton fuel scam and the departures of the Chairman of the Capital markets Authority Chege Waruingi and Kenya Airports Authority CEO George Muhoho - (more from "airport expert" - Coldtusker )

Plane moment: Mostly KQ

New KQ plane

After a slight delay here's the new KQ 737-800 5Y-KYE

Kenya Airways gets another 737-800 from Boeing tomorrow. Bold expansion at a difficult time for many airlines, and KQ is still increasing routes and frequencies but can reduced fuel prices be passed on to passengers?

Regional Routes

Air Tanzania was suspended from flights and offered a $2 million bailout by the government only?

Zambian Airways suspended flight without notice citing high fuel costs.

Virgin Nigeria suspended flights to London and South Africa.

Delta is US is expanding routes in Africa later this year (e.g. Nairobi in June) and so South African Airways will start a nonstop service from New York to Johannesburg in May that leaves earlier and allows for seamless connections on to other African destinations

Flight of Woe



On a recent local flight, the aircraft was found to have puncture at a mid-way stop

So the airline attempted to move the passengers to a more refined vehicle

Regulator reassures depositors

Titanic Triton
The Central Bank of Kenya has issued a statement to reassure depositors at some banks that have had some panicked customers want to withdraw and safeguard their funds at their banks which they believe may be exposed to the Triton fraud and fall – which CBK says is less than 0.002% of the banking sector. Read more

Best bank for netpreneurs?

This is based on a skunkworks discussion thread and as many answers are welcomed. A growing number of young Kenyans are now making money online from blogs and websites; They often earn money in and receive foreign cheques for $50, $100 or $200 (e.g. from Google Adsense) but have different experiences when they try and encash them. I use Co-op Bank, but the cost of Kshs. 1,000 (losing ~13%) to get funds one month later is something I’m sure another bank can improve on

My questions to the netpreneurs earning from advertising and other online sources is what did you do with your last adsense cheques? Where do you bank them? What kind of bank account do you have? How much does it cost to clear such a cheque and how long before funds are available? and finaly What do you as a young digital entrepreneur /internet like about your bank?

Results (after a week)
Concept says Family Bank - Kshs. 650
I say Co-op Bank - - Kshs 1,000
and KCB Customer Service the only of three dozen banks to reply to e-mail says minimum Ksh.800 maximum Ksh.4800 plus postage charge of Ksh.300. (so Kshs 1,100)

New Years Gift

Still making financial plans for 2009? Here's a free gift forward from Oprah’s site: You can download a new free e-book by personal finance guru, Suze Orman's i.e her new 2009 Action Plan book out this week.

The author gives some background on the books which can be downloaded here.

Which Kenyan bank has the best transaction accounts?

I’m looking for a new transactional bank account for the year. Generally need to low cost, quick, pleasant service, forex, standing orders, cheque book, ATM network, probably an introduction credit card etc?



My top choices are Equity, Stanchart or Barclays. Indicate appropriate tariffs and put your comments/reasons below.

Thanks

Media Bill 2008

(Download and read the KCA Bill 2008 (PDF) here)

Regarding the Kenya communication (amendment) bill 2008: Like with the last controversial media bill, getting a copy of the bill that has the media up in arms has not been easy.

I’ve seen one PDF version of the bill, and these are some other aspects of the bill brought forward by now cowed permanent secretary Bitange Ndemo and hapless Minister Samuel Pogishio which was on January 3 2009 signed by President Kibaki who hailed at as a milestone bill for e-commerce
What’s in it?

Content government which produces the most content gets to decide what’s in the in the public interest? Who knows what’s in demand e.g. all TV stations play music videos targeted at youth - and does that meet the requirement to of Kenyan programs that serve children - also set what time programs can be shown – does the CCK have time for this really?

Controversial topics: coverage must be balanced and where a complaint is lodged e.g. on a news story, must take action

E-mail (electronic record) now recognized as official communication. E.g. companies with tens of thousands of shareholders, legal correspondence

Electronic contracts are now recognized in law e.g. by e-mail – they can also can include security features like an e-signature, and can be for official government transactions

Electronic signatures now recognized except for wills, and title deeds
Electronic fraud/forgery now outlawed, but the maximum fine is just 200,000 (~$2,500) or two years in jail

Electronic files now admissible in court if it meets criteria specified e.g. the requirement of banks to provide physical statement and letters in court, can now be substituted by printouts. In addition tasks performed over several computer networks can be deemed t have been on one computer and qualify

Kenya gazette electronic version of the Kenya gazette now recognized as authority

Fair play new restriction include monopoly of programming and unfair competitors may be fined up to 10% of revenue (ii) but also discrimination of some kind is banned – this could be outdated as mobile companies in Tanzania and Uganda have introduced location based discounts - depending on their location at the time of calling and the level of traffic on the network

Hacking now outlawed, but the maximum fine is just 200,000 (~$2,500) or two years in jail. Elsewhere it states a fine of 1 million and jail of 5 years

Infrastructure sharing e.g. mobile phone towers may be shared, where no agreement can be reached between providers minister may mandate this (co-location)
Mobile phone reprogramming outlawed 300,000 or 3 years in jail for those seeking to unlock the I-phone. Elsewhere it has been said even downloading or changing the ring tone on your phone constitute reprogramming

Movie censorship empowers decisions made by the Kenya film censorship board ? to bar/edit films they have reviewed

Pornography outlawed– publication of obscene material online (including forwarding of obscene e-mail) liable to a fine of 200,000 and 2 years jail.

Vernacular radio/TV elevates and restricts vernacular broadcast stations – mandates that members of the community participate in the selection and provision of programs to be broadcast. But also restricts what parts of the country they can be broadcast - what is the interest of one media house to broadcast in several languages?

Summary
- Regulator CCK (communications commission of Kenya) gets powers it does not need nor do the members understand, but they can hold them just in case, or till the day they need them like the next election
- New tax (i) universal service fund charged on all licenses – mobile phones, television, radio etc. which the minister for information will set. funds raised can be given out as loans or grant for provision of service to rural or under-served areas

Overall an omnibus bill combines communications and broadcast, good and bad characteristics, it is here to stay and we all have to adapt to it now that it is law

More training needs to be done now, at the judiciary - on the new laws, at banks and companies - on the consequence of e-mail communication since its now binding and enforceable, and in offices everywhere - on the sharing of passwords and other secure resources

Banks have a framework for e-commerce; also there’s more government bureaucracy in this bill – a universal service advisory council, and more members to the CCK Board.

Event Blogging from Tanzania

2008 was still a great year for the blog exxcept for my low travel schedule - travel is invigorating, and is the my life blood of writing and I really hope to do more out of town corporate excursions this new year.

Almost a year ago I was fortunate to get a gig at for AllAfrica (thanks Mental) to cover and write about a factory opening in Arusha.

I had read the authoritative conference blogging guide by Ethan Zuckerman and gratefully hit the road with an interesting group of media types, on a brief escape from the post-election machinations going on in Nairobi

Here’s the two part report of the factory opening (see also the official factory site)